Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.394304 0.458986 0.530572 0.615623 0.713875 0.823773 0.955994
2025-03-09 0.284547 0.370175 0.475442 0.614144 0.791891 1.011842 1.304546
2025-03-16 0.217716 0.306743 0.424726 0.592065 0.822856 1.129504 1.567497
2025-03-23 0.192723 0.289592 0.425974 0.631195 0.931356 1.353434 1.991140
2025-03-30 0.159157 0.253175 0.392802 0.614138 0.954993 1.458645 2.257834
2025-04-06 0.132697 0.222231 0.361757 0.593536 0.967357 1.544749 2.501909
2025-04-13 0.112189 0.196996 0.335127 0.574653 0.977634 1.625719 2.743680
2025-04-20 0.100066 0.183513 0.325045 0.580291 1.026591 1.771215 3.102989
2025-04-27 0.093995 0.179423 0.329815 0.610995 1.120309 1.999109 3.623593
2025-05-04 0.086820 0.172184 0.327890 0.629161 1.193460 2.198629 4.115612
2025-05-11 0.079027 0.162591 0.320297 0.635626 1.245491 2.365335 4.565500
2025-05-18 0.071042 0.151437 0.308226 0.631792 1.277148 2.497185 4.963449
2025-05-25 0.063425 0.140159 0.294874 0.624547 1.302865 2.623459 5.370724
2025-06-01 0.057401 0.131384 0.285471 0.624201 1.342535 2.781458 5.859241
2025-06-08 0.050162 0.118888 0.266703 0.601815 1.334000 2.842442 6.158397
2025-06-15 0.048976 0.119760 0.276442 0.641573 1.460859 3.191481 7.089526
2025-06-22 0.043480 0.109847 0.261221 0.624243 1.461643 3.277032 7.470436
2025-06-29 0.038417 0.100210 0.245347 0.603311 1.451642 3.337834 7.803079
2025-07-06 0.034084 0.091724 0.231034 0.584126 1.443142 3.400513 8.145772
2025-07-13 0.031715 0.087882 0.227316 0.589854 1.493726 3.600962 8.823990
2025-07-20 0.030944 0.088115 0.233625 0.621050 1.609192 3.962282 9.915652
2025-07-27 0.029530 0.086414 0.234844 0.639506 1.695263 4.262981 10.893250
2025-08-03 0.027654 0.083159 0.231631 0.646075 1.752013 4.498794 11.736588